Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Sorry for being a bit late.
7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:
7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Those are the bid in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
7:32
Guest: Who would you currently rather have (10-T points league): tanner houck or Ryan helsley
7:33
Vic: E Duran or Luis G to replace Ozzie A. I have much IF flexibility in terms of position since I have Luis Urias.
7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Duran for speed, Garcia for power
7:33
Need SBs: In a 12 teamer, FAB priority? Grisham, A. Rosario, Grossman
7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Depends on need, but no other info probably Rosario, Grisham, Grossman
7:34
Sam: Do you see Moreno sticking w/Jays when Janson returns?
7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: Depends on how he’s hitting … and Kirk.
7:35
Jimmy Doubles: Ryan Feltner draws the start Tuesday @ MIA and may draw a 2nd start @ MIN. Fastball and Slider played decently well vs the Padres last time out. Worth a sprinkle of FAAB? (12/15s)
7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: I have him down on lists, more as a streamer. Also, I have Kuhl ahead of him.
7:37
Brian: 10 team roto mixed league.   Is Muncy with holding on to
7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: It comes down to the replacement. I’d drop him for E Duran.
7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m getting a ton of prospect questions. I’m not a prospect guy, so they won’t be chosen.
7:39
Crazyhurdlers: Thoughts on Jonah Bride OAK 3B? Good AVG so far matches his profile – worth a bid? Why or why not?
7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: A local kid who I’ve followed for a while. He has no power or speed. Think Arraez.
7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: If Arraez helps your team, add Bride
7:40
Bud: Do you like Josiah Gray over Stripling?
7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: No, not even close for me
7:41
DW: CJ Abrams is being promoted.  Can I expect considerable playing time and a good source of steals.  Thanks.
7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: Did that happen the first time he was called up? I have no expectation for him but to keep the bench warm.
7:42
Porcho Villa: Pick one SP for ROS value (5×5 QS league): Cobb, Stripling, Urquidy, Eflin
7:42
Adam: How much faab are you spending on Riley Greene and what’s your outlook on him ROS?
7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Greene going to break some teams with 10% to 40% of the original amount being my expectations. There aren’t going to be many other callups, so some managers are going to go big.
7:43
Brent: There’s been an Eloy sighting…when he returns to ChiSox lineup…need to drop an OF…drop Pham (CIN), Thomas (AZ), or Gurriel (TOR)?  OBP and SLG redraft league
7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Thomas, not close
7:44
Porcho Villa: Losing patience with Nimmo who has always been a great OBP asset but has been slumping and may be hurt (recently got cortisone shot for hand injury). Would you drop for any of the following (12-team 5×5 OBP): J. Rojas, Voit, N. Lowe, J. Duran, Gorman, D. Moore?
7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d drop for the first three you listed
7:44
Rush: Safe to drop Albies?
7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, hell yes.
7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: I know some other experts will say to hold, but I’m not holding many hurt hitters with so many streaming options. It’s a whole different story with pitchers.
7:46
Roger: Drop or hold tylor megill in nfbc 15 teams?
7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: Even with what I said above, I’d consider it. I have a league with nine hurt players. Someone had to go and Megill is going bye bye.
7:47
Frank Thomas The Tank Engine: Kiriloff or K Calhoun?
7:48
Brian: Thoughts on Strider as FA pick up in 10 team mixed league
7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s on the wire? For sure add him
7:48
D Mountain: Streamer for the week: Rich Hill v DET; Heasley @LAA; Bundy v COL?
7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m leaning Healsley. It might be Hill. Hill wasn’t available for me so I didn’t dive in much today
7:49
Frank Thomas The Tank Engine: For only leaguers, who will be the best player traded at the deadline?
7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: No clue and there is a 50/50 shot the player stays in the same league. It’ll be interesting to see if some team jump the gun, especially for bullpen pieces
7:50
Brian: what are your thoughts on encarnacion
7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: I just saw the news on the slam and that he was showing some power. I’d add and bench quickly and see his performance over the next week or so
7:52
Frank Thomas The Tank Engine: All the healthy Rays relievers are on the wire and even a couple extra saves will make a difference — which one to target?
7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: I take pride in recommending Adam
7:52
Johnny Ringo: Hi jeff. Looking for a closer. Rank dominguez hand graveman scott. Thanks
7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Scott, Hand, Dominguez, Graveman
7:53
Texas RP: Hoping to spec a closer in Texas. Matt Bush? Matt Moore got a save? Dennis Santana?
7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Just off the IL
7:53
Zoomies: Jesus Luzardo worth a stash in a 12 team league?
7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: No right now, Tony Disco is an option who is about to come off the IL
7:54
Jed: Whoops. That was what side of a Severino for Kimbrel trade would you want 10 team 5×5 league.
7:54
Tony-on-the-Mic: Is Old Man Minor worth hanging onto on my Reserve list, NL-only 4×4?
7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s fine to move on
7:55
Jax: I liked your Griffen Jax call-out. Choosing between him and a similarly-roled Keegan Akin. Any preference?
7:55
Triple A: Why do you think pundits have missed on players like Drury and Donovan?  Is this a fantasy market deficiency that could be remedied by a regular column that looks at players like this who are on the fringes?  FGs used to do this occasionally.
7:56
Jeff Zimmerman:

One baseball area not covered in enough detail is young players who no longer have prospect status but haven’t reached about 700 PA/200 IP (the number could vary). They just fly under the radar with little coverage.

Current examples are Luis Garcia (WSH) and Alex Kiriloff.

11 Jun 2022

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s a huge void in the system. Everyone wants to talk about the stars (already rostered) or guys with no experience (no rostered).
7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: I try to live on the edges with pitchers (offseason series) but someone could definitely cover hitters.
7:58
Guest: Is Suwinski a must-add now?   Is a 3 HR game in a close game more impressive than a 3 HR game in a blowout?
7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he was a must-add for weeks and got scolded for bidding too much on him. His cost just went through the roof
7:59
Kallus: ROS, Faedo or Stripling?
8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Stripling
8:00
Skip Lockwood: Bregman was dropped in my league. His last 800 at bats have been blah. Is he an upgrade over Eugenio or S Suzuki?
8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d add over Suzuki
8:00
Skip Lockwood: ROS, are Christian Walker and Voit a tossup?
8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Just stream them like when they head to COL
8:01
Wish I Had Berti: How concerned should I be that Manny Margot hasn’t stolen a base since coming back from the injured list? Am thinking about dropping him in a 12 teamer for Amed Rosario
8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d have no problems with dropping him.
8:01
Matty: Hi Jeff! Would you rather stash Haniger or Stephenson in a points w/ K penalty format?
8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Stephenson for me
8:01
Frank Thomas The Tank Engine: Does Houck stick as closer the rest of the year?
8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: No, I think they’ll bring in someone else
8:02
Bart: Does graveman or Hudson get more saves for the next month?
8:02
Porcho Villa: Any signs of optimism for K. Hayes this season? Great statcast power numbers but results have not been there
8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: He needs to lift the ball. He’s caught the Yandy Diaz disease
8:03
Wojo: Is jakob junis worth a stash in 15 team leagues? seems like he progressing on the quicker side of the timetable according to susan slusser
8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: If you have room, yes. I considered it in few leagues
8:04
Greene Thumb: I’ve got $20 left in AL only league. Should I blow it all on Riley Greene? We allow $0 bids.
8:04
Greene Thumb: ($100 Faab league)
8:04
Kyle: Hi Jeff – Weird to see Mahle dropped earlier this week. What should % should I expect to see bidding at in a 12-team standard roto. Thanks!
8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: 5% to 15%. Maybe more.
8:05
Maris: Straight points league. Christopher Morell or Riley Green rest of season. Thanks Jeff.
8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Take a chance on Greene
8:05
zig: Better catcher in dynasty points – Kirk or Melendez?
8:05
TheHawk: Thanks as always for your time!
8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re welcome
8:06
Frank Thomas The Tank Engine: Does E Duran remain a regular for the rest of the year?
8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: If he continues to hit like he is
8:07
Pitching: A few weeks back you said you use SwStr% to evaluate pitches, not pitchers. What number do you use to determine if an individual pitch is “good?” Most good strikeout pitchers seem to have an overall SwStr% of 12-15%, but I assume that the list of pitchers who get that by having three different pitches all above 12% is VERY short.
8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: And damn that is an old article. Some tag Eno and me in a tweet to see if the values have been rerun. If not, I’ll write them up this week.
8:08
Paul is 80: Better hitter in redraft: Vaughn, Burger, Nate Lowe?  Also which rook hitter is best bet: Kiriloff, Jarren Duran, Nolan Gorman, Greene? Thanks.
8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Vaughn and Greene
8:09
Joe: 15 teamer next 2-3 weeks, Arcia, D Moore, Perdomo, Candelaria? Thanks for all your work.
8:10
RB: Hi Jeff.  I have Riley Greene, Kiriloff & Oneil Cruz in my weekly starting lineup tomorrow.  I need to pick 2 of 3: Orlando Arcia, Jake Burger, and/ or Brandon Marsh (who I just traded Alex Bregman for) to lock.  What do you think?
8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: Not Marsh
8:10
TheHawk: Who would you speculate on out of this group for saves for ROY? Vest, Lange, Jackson, Acevedo, MMoore, Quijada or Bush.
8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: I wouldn’t yet
8:10
Guest: Ashby,Cobb, or Whitlock? 12 team mixed roto
8:11
Middling Middles: This is a weekly refrain, but looking for middle infield help, al only OBP league: Leury Garcia, Rengifo, Matt Carpenter, Dylan Moore…
8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Rengifo. Also, Arcia is about to get it.
8:11
Guardians: I have Melendez in one catcher league. Is Rutschman a better ROS catcher.
8:12
Just a little outside: How would you prioritize J Rojas, E Duran, and Kirilloff as hitting pickups?
8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Kirilloff, Duran, Rojas
8:13
APC: Desperate for SPs in a league where 120 SPs are rostered. Rank the following Daniel Lynch, Peterson NYM, Feltner, Kremer o
8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Peterson for me x2 vs MIA
8:14
4A into Roto: I’m in a fight for first, $260 5×5 keeper NL-only. I want to offer Lauer  ($4 First Year) and Miguel Vargas ($5 First – on my bench) to a rebuilding team for Kershaw (Last) and Bellinger (Last). I need everything except for HR.  Would you trade Lauer & Vargas in my place?
8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, but I bet the other team will want and will get a ton more.
8:14
ORB: Are you willing to roll the dice for the Z. Davies two-step (@SD, DET)?  Tigers obviously great matchup and Padres not great at home + no Machado.
8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d rather go with a middle releiver
8:15
Guest: Greene is available in my 12 team AL only H2H keeper league using OBP. What % of FAAB would you throw at him? I’ve got 51 of 100 left. My OFers are Mullins, Kiermaier, Gallo, Oscar Gonzalez, Larnach. Will activate Kiriloff. Also have Haniger on reserve. Was going to put Pena on bench if I get Greene.
8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: $0 FAAB bids, go all. If you need $1 to make bids, go $40 tops (1 move per week)
8:17
Mystical: In a 12tm roto dynasty, I’ve got some previously hot prospects that aren’t looking so good and a couple guys who should be of the IL this week. Of Brujan, Kelenic, and Adell. If you were picking one to drop who would it be?
8:17
Me: Desperate for a SB source that won’t tank my OBP. Taking a shot on Dylan Moore in a 10 teamer. Any thoughts on him?
8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Not for me, see if Gonzalez (SFG) or Oliveras are available
8:18
Maris: Cody Bellinger has so much talent (speed, power, defense). Some great years behind him and still young. You still buying?
8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably not
8:18
FFCulater: Do you think Strahm gets shot at Saves for BOS
8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: I bet he gets 5-6
8:19
FFCulater: What do you think Arcia goes for in 15 teamers this week?
8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: In the two leagues list at the start, it seems like from 2% to 4% of original FAAB
8:19
Guest: Hey Jeff, is Dany Jimenez fully washed? Who do you like better going forward for SV, Jimenez or Brad Hand? Take a shot on AJ Puk? Thanks for all you do!
8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Hand then Jimenez. I’d try to get both if desperate.
8:20
Percy Miracles: Please rank McCutchen, L Gonzalez, Naylor, Morel, Carlson in OBP
8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: I think this ranking. Morel, Gonzalez, Naylor, Carlson, Mcc
8:21
KCbbq: Is Kikuchi toast in a 12 team AL only 5×5 league using W+QS and S+H. My SPs would be Gausman, Ray, Blackburn, Sandoval and Winder when he comes off the IL. I can replace Kikuchi with a RP from Joe Kelly, Schreiber, Perez (Balt), Bautista, Stanek, Swanson or Leclerc. I have Joe Barlow now. Thinking Kelly will get both saves and holds if Hendriks stays out long
8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Currently, I have Kikuchi ranked with the likes of Minor and Fedde (not good). I add for Swanson or LeClerc
8:23
Minx: Hey Jeff, who do you like better going forward for saves: Paul Sewald, Jimenez or Brad Hand? Should I take look elsewhere and take a flyer on a guy like Puk or Hudson? Our other closers are Jansen and Poche, with obviously slim pickings on the wire. Thanks for all you do!
8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go Hand, Sewald, and Jimenez
8:23
Hi: Michael Harris or Cal Mitchell? Thanks
8:24
Kevin: Drop Singer, Cobb, or Ashby to bring up O’Neil Cruz? Have Lindor in SS already.
8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Trade, someone will want that pitching
8:24
Smyly: Who would you rather have ROS in deep NL-only 5×5: Keegan Thompson or Smyly?
8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Thompson, but I’d be looking to move on
8:25
Mystical: Specking on a potential closer K Giles vs Leclerc, who are you prioritizing?
8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: LeClerec. I don’t like that SEA has two guys getting the job done right now
8:25
Ed: Merrifield droppable in a 10-team OPS league?  He’s not even running much lately.
8:25
Jay: Craig Kimbrel is really beginning to worry me. Is it time to get Daniel Hudson? I can also get Jorge Lopez or Ryan Helsley.
8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: I think Kimbrel managers adding Hudson. Hopefully you will use two roster spots for one closer
8:26
Poche Spice: Is this the S+H (roto) priority: Graveman, Montero, Poche?
8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: Poche, Graveman, Montero
8:27
DR: Last question, do you prefer Kole Calhoun or Suwinski the rest of the way?  Thanks!
8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: Suwinski on the upside. I could change my mind in a week
8:28
Pretzel: Tyrone Taylor or Franchy Cordero for the next couple weeks?
8:28
matt: who would you prioritize:  Suwinski or L Gonzalez?
8:29
Jeff Zimmerman: This is close, Suwinskie for power, Gonzalez for speed
8:30
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for tonight. I need to give my NFBC teams a quick look before FAAB runs in 30. -Jeff


 

Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He’s won Tout Wars three times, LABR once, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.